Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.467235 0.600354 0.744550 0.910335 1.093846 1.289155 1.511206
2025-03-16 0.258301 0.426747 0.630454 0.884603 1.184633 1.520580 1.918864
2025-03-23 0.173256 0.354134 0.592131 0.905554 1.290013 1.732657 2.268893
2025-03-30 0.109182 0.288868 0.548238 0.908168 1.365066 1.903670 2.567712
2025-04-06 0.060776 0.227347 0.495634 0.888626 1.404116 2.024976 2.802338
2025-04-13 0.041072 0.206504 0.495684 0.934677 1.522322 2.239200 3.144865
2025-04-20 0.026958 0.189460 0.497592 0.980599 1.638518 2.449742 3.482158
2025-04-27 0.017690 0.177990 0.505747 1.033609 1.762850 2.669656 3.830365
2025-05-04 0.014007 0.180376 0.536411 1.118627 1.929206 2.941768 4.241826
2025-05-11 0.008320 0.170386 0.543769 1.168604 2.048495 3.154968 4.581905
2025-05-18 0.002653 0.148541 0.526364 1.179816 2.114575 3.300649 4.839317
2025-05-25 NaN 0.108780 0.466968 1.122632 2.084816 3.323132 4.944402
2025-06-01 NaN 0.072480 0.405478 1.060010 2.049360 3.342939 5.053630
2025-06-08 NaN 0.050097 0.366328 1.029230 2.056191 3.416101 5.228740
2025-06-15 NaN 0.041835 0.360420 1.052710 2.139176 3.587283 5.525195
2025-06-22 NaN 0.031377 0.343512 1.055326 2.191061 3.717239 5.769754
2025-06-29 NaN 0.019773 0.314951 1.034216 2.206514 3.798035 5.951576
2025-07-06 NaN 0.018490 0.325089 1.084056 2.327050 4.018409 6.310147
2025-07-13 NaN 0.017301 0.335143 1.133688 2.447351 4.238626 6.668760
2025-07-20 NaN 0.017005 0.349158 1.190874 2.579107 4.474336 7.047316
2025-07-27 NaN 0.020401 0.381106 1.282388 2.762630 4.779494 7.514428
2025-08-03 NaN 0.019651 0.393160 1.336073 2.889451 5.009015 7.885659
2025-08-10 NaN 0.014891 0.383657 1.348107 2.953426 5.154387 8.149927